Thoughts

Long-form thinking

On tech, AI, business, and what actually works.

August 22, 2026

The Blast Radius

Four AI labs spent 2026 racing to sell you a colleague made of software. The benchmarks say the best agent completes one realistic task in five, reliability hasn't improved in two years, and the standards war everyone expected never happened. The real contest is over the layer nobody demos.

AIAI AgentsEnterpriseStrategyCybersecurity

August 15, 2026

Graph Engineering: The New Way of Doing Work

A twelve-word tweet in July 2026 set off a new discipline: designing networks of AI agents instead of prompting one. Inside the evidence — Anthropic's 45-agent swarm, OpenAI's zero-hand-written-code product, the MAST failure study — and why the human's job is becoming org design plus anchors.

AIAI AgentsStrategyEnterprise

July 17, 2026

The $12 Billion Bet Against the Frontier

Mira Murati's Thinking Machines Lab shipped its first model, Inkling, and admitted in writing that it isn't the best one available. That confession is the first coherent AI business strategy built on the premise that the frontier is a loss-leader — and that the real economics live in making a good-enough model yours.

AIStrategyEnterpriseEconomics

June 27, 2026

The Day Google Went Fully Agentic

How Google turned itself from a search company into an agentic-AI company across two keynotes — I/O 2025 and I/O 2026 — and what its agents, open protocols, and quadrillion-token scale mean for business decision-makers planning their own AI bets.

AIStrategyEnterpriseAutomationGoogle

June 24, 2026

The $60 Billion Cursor: Why SpaceX Just Bought the Way Software Gets Written

SpaceX's $60 billion all-stock purchase of Cursor isn't a coding-tools story — it's Elon Musk buying the surface where software gets written, turning millions of developers' keystrokes into training fuel for his AI, and opening a second front against GitHub with a platform called Origin. What the largest startup acquisition in history means for the tools your business runs on.

AIStrategyEnterprise

May 28, 2026

The $3.70 Question: What You Should Actually Get Back for Every Dollar You Spend on AI

The honest answer to what you get per dollar of AI spend is two numbers, not one: $3.70 for the leaders, 5.9% for the average. Which one becomes yours has almost nothing to do with the model and everything to do with preparation.

AIROIEnterpriseStrategy